Bitcoin (BTC) miners are more and more shifting towards synthetic intelligence (AI) and high-performance computing (HPC) as transaction charge revenues stay inconsistent, in line with a current VanEck report.
The agency famous that whereas community congestion can result in short-term charge spikes, long-term on-chain income progress stays unsure as a result of rise of off-chain options corresponding to exchange-traded funds (ETFs), futures markets, layer-2 (L2) options, and centralized exchanges.
As block rewards halve each 4 years, Bitcoin miners should adapt since BTC’s value must double to keep up income ranges. This dynamic highlights the significance of pivoting to AI and HPC as diversification methods.
Pivoting strikes
Profitable Bitcoin miners are integrating different methods to optimize income streams.
Some use mining to subsidize grid enlargement in distant power markets. In distinction, others leverage present energy infrastructure to assist AI and HPC workloads, which supply increased margins and unlock new financing avenues.
Improvements in liquid cooling techniques, chip design, and co-location applied sciences additional enhance operational efficiencies.
The shift towards AI and HPC has gained momentum following CoreWeave’s 700MW AI/HPC settlement in 2024, prompting a number of Bitcoin miners to discover comparable income streams.
Bitfarms (BITF) has engaged AI/HPC consultants to evaluate feasibility throughout North American websites. On the similar time, Bitdeer (BTDR) has cited ongoing discussions with AI/HPC growth companions after finishing its knowledge heart consulting engagement.
Cipher Mining (CIFR) secured a $50 million funding from SoftBank in January to assist its HPC knowledge heart enlargement. Riot Platforms (RIOT) expanded its board of administrators to incorporate experience in AI/HPC funding banking, knowledge facilities, and actual property.
In the meantime, HIVE Digital Applied sciences (HIVE) appointed Craig Tavares as President and COO of Buzz HPC to steer the agency’s progress in HPC and GPU cloud companies.
Iris Vitality (IREN) is advancing its AI and HPC initiatives with a 75 megawatts (MW) liquid-cooled AI/HPC knowledge heart set to launch in Childress, Texas, by the second half of 2025.
Moreover, the corporate plans to broaden its Sweetwater web site with one other 600 MW. The enlargement will deliver the entire capability to 2 GW, making it certainly one of North America’s largest AI/HPC-eligible websites.
The report famous the rarity of such large-scale websites and emphasised their strategic benefit in offering dense compute clusters important for AI mannequin coaching and iterative workloads.
Scaling electrical capability
The pivoting to new enterprise fashions, corresponding to AI, has added to Bitcoin miners’ necessity to scale electrical capability.
The report assessed 13 public Bitcoin miners, revealing a collective operational capability of seven.1 gigawatts (GW). Growth plans challenge a rise to 11.7 GW by 2025, 15.9 GW by 2026, and 20.4 GW by 2027, representing a compound annual progress charge of 42% over three years.
An extra 7.3 GW pipeline is deliberate past 2028, although that is thought-about a conservative estimate given the aggressive nature of energy procurement in Bitcoin mining.
Scaling these operations would require vital funding. Assuming enlargement by way of 2027 employs a modernized Bitmain Antminer S21 Execs fleet, priced at $5,000 every, alongside $450,000 per MW of supporting infrastructure, the entire capital expenditure is estimated at $24.8 billion.
Nonetheless, Bitcoin miners are unlikely to dedicate all capability to mining since securing electrical capability has develop into a key competency amid rising AI energy calls for.
Goldman Sachs estimates that AI at the moment consumes roughly 7.7 GW of worldwide knowledge heart energy utilization, accounting for 14% of the entire. The determine is projected to extend to 22.7 GW (27%) by 2027.
Given this development, Bitcoin miners are anticipated to allocate 20-30% of their electrical capability to AI and HPC workloads, reflecting a strategic pivot towards extra sustainable and diversified income streams.
